Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Kindel wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.5% vs Hertl 57.1% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 83.2%
Defensive zone
Kindel 84.6%
Neutral zone
Kindel 84.4%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Kindel
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Kindel
Hertl
Last 9: Kindel 0-9 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
7
Kindel
Hertl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kindel
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kindel
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (478)
58.0% (816)
-14.7%
Power Play
56.8% (37)
56.5% (260)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (14)
62.9% (35)
-5.8%
On even strength, Hertl has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kindel is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (359).
Kindel shoots right. Hertl is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (422).
Home / Away
Kindel
Hertl
Home
46.5% (256)
59.7% (561)
Away
42.9% (273)
55.8% (550)
By Period
Kindel
Hertl
P1
41.3%
51.4%
P2
46.6%
64.1%
P3
42.6%
58.5%
OT
91.7%
28.6%
Final 5 min
39.5%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.6%
Hertl
54.0%▼
58.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |