Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Kindel wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Hertl 57.2% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 81.3%
Defensive zone
Kindel 84.6%
Neutral zone
Kindel 84.6%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Kindel
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Kindel
Hertl
Last 9: Kindel 0-9 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
7
Kindel
Hertl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kindel
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kindel
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
58.1% (823)
-15.0%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
56.2% (265)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
62.9% (35)
-2.9%
On even strength, Hertl has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kindel is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Kindel shoots right. Hertl is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Kindel
Hertl
Home
46.1% (267)
59.7% (561)
Away
42.9% (273)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Kindel
Hertl
P1
41.5%
51.6%
P2
45.8%
63.8%
P3
42.6%
58.6%
OT
91.7%
28.6%
Final 5 min
39.3%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |