Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Kindel wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Hertl 54.2% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 84.7%
Defensive zone
Kindel 83.4%
Neutral zone
Kindel 83.8%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Kindel
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Kindel
Hertl
Last 9: Kindel 0-9 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
7
Kindel
Hertl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kindel
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kindel
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
53.8% (8,268)
-10.7%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
59.3% (1,975)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
46.3% (806)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Kindel has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kindel is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Kindel shoots right. Hertl is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,133).
Home / Away
Kindel
Hertl
Home
46.1% (267)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
42.9% (273)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Kindel
Hertl
P1
41.5%
53.6%
P2
45.8%
54.1%
P3
42.6%
55.3%
OT
91.7%
46.5%
Final 5 min
39.3%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |