Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +45.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.7% vs Stepan 54.8% (-45.4%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 55.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 74.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 54.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Coleman
Stepan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
13.3% (15)
54.5% (374)
-41.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
0.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
64.7% (68)
-64.7%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +64.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Coleman is 12.5% vs right-shot opponents (8).
Coleman shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Coleman
Stepan
Home
9.1% (11)
54.5% (222)
Away
12.5% (8)
57.2% (222)
By Period
Coleman
Stepan
P1
14.3%
57.5%
P2
12.5%
54.7%
P3
0.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
12.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
36.0%▼
45.5%
10.5%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%