Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 49.3% vs Stepan 53.4% (-6.7%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 72.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 73.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 56.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Coleman
Stepan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (40)
55.3% (358)
-7.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
0.0% (3)
+50.0%
On power play, Coleman has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Coleman is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (13).
Coleman shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Coleman
Stepan
Home
39.1% (23)
57.7% (213)
Away
57.9% (19)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Coleman
Stepan
P1
47.1%
56.3%
P2
58.8%
48.9%
P3
25.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
47.6%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%