Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Coleman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.4% vs Larkin 49.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 89.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 68.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 70.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 74.5%
25.5%
74.5%
Coleman
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Coleman
Larkin
Last 7: Coleman 6-1 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
5
0
Coleman
Larkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (430)
48.5% (1,057)
-0.4%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
61.4% (140)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
48.7% (117)
-6.0%
On power play, Larkin has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Coleman is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Coleman shoots left. Larkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Coleman
Larkin
Home
47.5% (221)
51.4% (652)
Away
46.5% (316)
48.5% (662)
By Period
Coleman
Larkin
P1
46.7%
49.1%
P2
52.4%
52.0%
P3
42.1%
48.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
46.9%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2018 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 02:30 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |