Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.9% vs Larkin 55.0% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coleman 60.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 57.6%
Neutral zone
Coleman 57.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Coleman
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Coleman
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Coleman
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (61)
55.9% (943)
-8.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
57.4% (244)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
46.2% (106)
-46.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Coleman is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Coleman shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Home / Away
Coleman
Larkin
Home
41.0% (39)
56.0% (654)
Away
50.0% (30)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Coleman
Larkin
P1
33.3%
54.4%
P2
52.6%
55.9%
P3
52.2%
55.2%
Final 5 min
35.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
44.9%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |