Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 49.2% vs Larkin 54.2% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coleman 56.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 54.8%
Neutral zone
Coleman 62.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Coleman
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Coleman
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Coleman
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (60)
52.6% (1,117)
-2.6%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
60.7% (305)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
55.9% (177)
-9.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Coleman is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Coleman shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Coleman
Larkin
Home
46.5% (43)
54.7% (783)
Away
50.0% (36)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Coleman
Larkin
P1
56.0%
55.9%
P2
41.2%
56.1%
P3
50.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
48.1%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 12:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |