Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.9% vs Pavelski 50.9% (-6.2%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 55.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 67.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 56.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Coleman
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (61)
51.5% (594)
-4.0%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
51.7% (87)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
28.6% (14)
-28.6%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Coleman is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Coleman shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Coleman
Pavelski
Home
41.0% (39)
53.1% (339)
Away
50.0% (30)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Coleman
Pavelski
P1
33.3%
53.8%
P2
52.6%
47.8%
P3
52.2%
50.2%
Final 5 min
35.7%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
44.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%