Scouting Report
Blake Coleman holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.3% vs Kelly 41.8% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 51.4%
Defensive zone
Kelly 51.0%
Neutral zone
Kelly 50.2%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Coleman
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,060)
41.9% (756)
+3.4%
Power Play
34.1% (41)
0.0% (3)
+34.1%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (321)
37.2% (172)
-1.4%
On power play, Coleman has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Coleman is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Coleman shoots left. Kelly is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (626).
Home / Away
Coleman
Kelly
Home
44.5% (663)
42.5% (475)
Away
41.4% (759)
39.3% (456)
By Period
Coleman
Kelly
P1
42.4%
42.4%
P2
44.6%
44.7%
P3
41.7%
35.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.8%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%