Scouting Report
Blake Coleman holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.4% vs Kelly 41.4% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 61.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 51.9%
Neutral zone
Coleman 50.5%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Coleman
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,058)
41.6% (722)
+3.8%
Power Play
34.1% (41)
0.0% (3)
+34.1%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (320)
36.5% (170)
-0.6%
On power play, Coleman has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Coleman is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Coleman shoots left. Kelly is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (601).
Home / Away
Coleman
Kelly
Home
44.6% (662)
42.2% (457)
Away
41.5% (757)
38.6% (438)
By Period
Coleman
Kelly
P1
42.6%
41.5%
P2
44.7%
44.9%
P3
41.7%
35.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
36.0%▼
45.5%
42.9%
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
40.4%