Scouting Report
Blake Coleman holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 49.2% vs Kelly 43.9% (+5.1%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 72.1%
Defensive zone
Kelly 79.4%
Neutral zone
Kelly 53.4%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Coleman
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (60)
44.8% (556)
+5.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
0.0% (2)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
36.8% (144)
+9.9%
On power play, Coleman has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Coleman is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Coleman shoots left. Kelly is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
Coleman
Kelly
Home
46.5% (43)
44.8% (368)
Away
50.0% (36)
41.0% (334)
By Period
Coleman
Kelly
P1
56.0%
46.7%
P2
41.2%
48.0%
P3
50.0%
34.8%
Final 5 min
47.6%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
36.0%▼
45.5%
48.1%
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
43.0%