Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coleman wins 37.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.9% vs Johansen 53.3% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 83.6%
Defensive zone
Coleman 78.1%
Neutral zone
Coleman 56.8%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Coleman
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Coleman
Johansen
Last 5: Coleman 2-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Coleman
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
1
0
Coleman
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Coleman
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (145)
54.7% (1,149)
-9.2%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
49.7% (191)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (108)
47.9% (121)
-10.9%
On power play, Johansen has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Coleman is 37.6% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Coleman shoots left. Johansen is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Coleman
Johansen
Home
49.6% (129)
52.5% (739)
Away
33.8% (133)
54.6% (722)
By Period
Coleman
Johansen
P1
39.5%
53.8%
P2
40.2%
55.8%
P3
45.6%
51.2%
Final 5 min
39.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
41.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |