Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Coleman on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Coleman wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.3% vs Johansen 53.3% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Coleman leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 86.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 54.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 65.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Coleman
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Coleman
Johansen
Last 10: Coleman 5-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Coleman
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
4
1
Coleman
Johansen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
4
Coleman
Johansen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,060)
53.1% (11,017)
-7.8%
Power Play
34.1% (41)
56.2% (2,163)
-22.1%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (321)
50.5% (978)
-14.7%
On power play, Johansen has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Coleman is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Coleman shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Coleman
Johansen
Home
44.5% (663)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
41.4% (759)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Coleman
Johansen
P1
42.4%
53.2%
P2
44.6%
53.9%
P3
41.7%
52.8%
OT
0.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
42.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2020 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 02:47 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 04:16 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:24 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |