Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.9% vs Johansen 52.8% (-8.2%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 57.3%
Defensive zone
Johansen 68.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 51.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Coleman
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (61)
51.9% (597)
-4.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
57.9% (133)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
54.3% (81)
-54.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +54.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Coleman is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Coleman shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Coleman
Johansen
Home
41.0% (39)
55.8% (387)
Away
50.0% (30)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Coleman
Johansen
P1
33.3%
50.0%
P2
52.6%
56.2%
P3
52.2%
52.6%
Final 5 min
35.7%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
44.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%