Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jenner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Jenner 54.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 62.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 62.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 66.0%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Lizotte
Jenner
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Lizotte
Jenner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
0
3
Lizotte
Jenner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
54.2% (999)
-1.7%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
60.0% (240)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
49.7% (147)
-8.3%
On power play, Jenner has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Jenner
Home
51.4% (383)
56.7% (693)
Away
50.9% (424)
52.7% (693)
By Period
Lizotte
Jenner
P1
48.8%
57.1%
P2
51.0%
54.1%
P3
53.5%
53.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |