Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 51.2%). Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jenner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Jenner 50.8% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 74.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 69.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 63.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Lizotte
Jenner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lizotte
Jenner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
0
1
Lizotte
Jenner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Jenner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
50.3% (163)
+3.2%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
52.0% (25)
-52.0%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
58.8% (17)
-20.2%
On power play, Jenner has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. Jenner is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Jenner
Home
52.0% (198)
45.7% (81)
Away
49.7% (149)
54.8% (124)
By Period
Lizotte
Jenner
P1
50.0%
46.6%
P2
50.9%
58.3%
P3
52.2%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 13:51 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |