Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Cizikas 55.0% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 85.8%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 63.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 72.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Lizotte
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lizotte
Cizikas
Last 8: Lizotte 2-6 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
2
Lizotte
Cizikas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
4
Lizotte
Cizikas
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
57.8% (767)
-6.5%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
66.7% (18)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
44.9% (176)
+6.0%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Cizikas
Home
52.5% (326)
56.6% (484)
Away
50.5% (281)
54.5% (477)
By Period
Lizotte
Cizikas
P1
51.4%
57.2%
P2
56.3%
54.7%
P3
46.1%
54.8%
Final 5 min
49.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:48 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |