Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Cizikas 54.4% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 67.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 59.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 50.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Lizotte
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lizotte
Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
2
Lizotte
Cizikas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Cizikas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
56.4% (576)
-2.9%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
33.3% (33)
+5.3%
On power play, Cizikas has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Cizikas
Home
52.0% (198)
55.4% (303)
Away
49.7% (149)
54.9% (308)
By Period
Lizotte
Cizikas
P1
50.0%
53.0%
P2
50.9%
56.0%
P3
52.2%
56.2%
Final 5 min
60.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |