Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Coyle 50.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 66.2%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 54.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 50.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Lizotte
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lizotte
Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Lizotte
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Coyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Coyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
52.3% (811)
+0.6%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
44.3% (61)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
44.8% (181)
-1.7%
On power play, Coyle has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Lizotte is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Lizotte shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Coyle
Home
44.2% (242)
49.0% (537)
Away
56.0% (234)
52.1% (516)
By Period
Lizotte
Coyle
P1
49.6%
48.7%
P2
46.9%
49.6%
P3
52.6%
53.1%
OT
100.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 12:20 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |