Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Coyle 48.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 50.6%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 57.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 55.0%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Lizotte
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
11
(28 meetings)
17
11
Lizotte
Coyle
Last 10: Lizotte 5-5 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Lizotte
Coyle
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
8
3
Lizotte
Coyle
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
5
4
Lizotte
Coyle
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
49.4% (7,856)
+2.2%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
50.0% (792)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
43.6% (1,090)
-1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Lizotte shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Coyle
Home
49.5% (1,840)
49.8% (4,835)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
47.9% (4,903)
By Period
Lizotte
Coyle
P1
48.0%
49.4%
P2
52.3%
48.3%
P3
50.5%
48.8%
OT
75.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 12:20 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 16:04 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |