Scouting Report
Dakota Joshua holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Joshua on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Joshua 53.0% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joshua 52.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 68.5%
Neutral zone
Joshua 54.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Lizotte
Joshua
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Lizotte
Joshua
Last 8: Lizotte 4-4 Joshua
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Joshua
0
1
Lizotte
Joshua
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Joshua
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Joshua
2
3
Lizotte
Joshua
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Joshua
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (316)
57.1% (63)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
100.0% (1)
-72.0%
On penalty kill, Joshua has a +72.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joshua shoots left. Lizotte is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Lizotte shoots left. Joshua is 61.4% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Joshua
Home
46.9% (177)
12.5% (8)
Away
54.8% (177)
64.3% (56)
By Period
Lizotte
Joshua
P1
42.3%
68.0%
P2
51.8%
50.0%
P3
60.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.8%
Joshua
34.0%▼
47.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |