Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.3%). Look for Joshua on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Joshua 51.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Joshua 56.2%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 72.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 50.2%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Lizotte
Joshua
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Lizotte
Joshua
Last 10: Lizotte 6-4 Joshua
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Joshua
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Joshua
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Joshua
2
4
Lizotte
Joshua
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Joshua
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (3,005)
52.3% (283)
-0.6%
Power Play
49.4% (77)
85.7% (7)
-36.3%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (409)
25.0% (20)
+18.0%
On power play, Joshua has a +36.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joshua shoots left. Lizotte is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,332).
Lizotte shoots left. Joshua is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Joshua
Home
49.8% (1,780)
49.0% (145)
Away
51.6% (1,711)
53.3% (165)
By Period
Lizotte
Joshua
P1
48.2%
56.6%
P2
52.8%
45.0%
P3
50.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
50.7%
Joshua
44.0%▼
48.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |