Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.6%). Look for Joshua on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Joshua 50.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Joshua 60.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 72.5%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 51.9%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Lizotte
Joshua
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Lizotte
Joshua
Last 10: Lizotte 6-4 Joshua
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Joshua
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Joshua
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Joshua
2
4
Lizotte
Joshua
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Joshua
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
51.7% (288)
-0.1%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
75.0% (8)
-26.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
25.0% (20)
+17.3%
On power play, Joshua has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joshua shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Joshua is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Joshua
Home
49.5% (1,840)
48.3% (149)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
52.7% (167)
By Period
Lizotte
Joshua
P1
48.0%
55.6%
P2
52.3%
44.2%
P3
50.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Joshua
34.0%▼
47.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |