Scouting Report
Dakota Joshua holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Joshua shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Joshua 51.0% (-2.3%)
Offensive zone
Joshua 58.2%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 67.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 63.4%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Lizotte
Joshua
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Joshua
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
50.0% (36)
+2.5%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
100.0% (4)
-53.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
33.3% (3)
+8.1%
On power play, Joshua has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joshua shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Joshua is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Joshua
Home
51.4% (383)
76.5% (17)
Away
50.9% (424)
38.5% (26)
By Period
Lizotte
Joshua
P1
48.8%
50.0%
P2
51.0%
58.8%
P3
53.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Joshua
34.0%▼
47.5%
53.5%