Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Yurov 40.6% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Yurov 59.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 94.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 83.9%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Lizotte
Yurov
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lizotte
Yurov
Last 5: Lizotte 4-1 Yurov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Yurov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Yurov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Yurov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Yurov
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
39.6% (621)
+13.3%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
27.8% (18)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
25.0% (8)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Yurov shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Yurov is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Yurov
Home
44.2% (242)
43.1% (332)
Away
56.0% (234)
34.9% (315)
By Period
Lizotte
Yurov
P1
49.6%
37.5%
P2
46.9%
38.1%
P3
52.6%
41.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |