Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Yurov 40.6% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 63.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 90.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 86.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Lizotte
Yurov
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lizotte
Yurov
Last 5: Lizotte 4-1 Yurov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Yurov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Yurov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Yurov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Yurov
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
39.6% (621)
+12.0%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
27.8% (18)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
25.0% (8)
+17.3%
On power play, Lizotte has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Yurov shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Yurov is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Yurov
Home
49.5% (1,840)
43.1% (332)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
34.9% (315)
By Period
Lizotte
Yurov
P1
48.0%
37.5%
P2
52.3%
38.1%
P3
50.5%
41.9%
Final 5 min
50.2%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |