Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Grant 48.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 80.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 55.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 59.7%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Lizotte
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Lizotte
Grant
Last 6: Lizotte 6-0 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
0
Lizotte
Grant
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Grant
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
49.1% (222)
+2.2%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
76.5% (17)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
45.3% (181)
+5.6%
On power play, Grant has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Grant
Home
52.5% (326)
49.8% (223)
Away
50.5% (281)
47.2% (197)
By Period
Lizotte
Grant
P1
51.4%
43.9%
P2
56.3%
49.7%
P3
46.1%
51.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 05:10 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:34 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |