Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Grant 54.3% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 74.4%
Defensive zone
Grant 64.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 52.3%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Lizotte
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lizotte
Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
2
Lizotte
Grant
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Grant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
56.5% (308)
-4.0%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
65.3% (49)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
48.5% (136)
-7.1%
On power play, Grant has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Grant
Home
51.4% (383)
60.3% (257)
Away
50.9% (424)
49.6% (236)
By Period
Lizotte
Grant
P1
48.8%
54.7%
P2
51.0%
54.0%
P3
53.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:28 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Derek Grant |