Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.1% vs Stepan 47.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 51.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 65.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 51.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Lizotte
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lizotte
Stepan
Last 6: Lizotte 2-4 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Stepan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Stepan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
2
Lizotte
Stepan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (549)
47.3% (877)
+3.0%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
54.4% (103)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
45.2% (217)
-1.2%
On power play, Lizotte has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Lizotte is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Lizotte shoots left. Stepan is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Stepan
Home
48.5% (336)
50.4% (560)
Away
52.1% (286)
45.1% (637)
By Period
Lizotte
Stepan
P1
48.2%
47.4%
P2
54.1%
47.0%
P3
47.1%
48.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.2%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2020 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 2 | 11:44 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 15:29 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |