Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Stepan 54.8% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 52.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 65.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 54.7%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Lizotte
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lizotte
Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
54.5% (374)
-3.2%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
0.0% (2)
+61.1%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
64.7% (68)
-13.8%
On power play, Lizotte has a +61.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Lizotte is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Lizotte shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Stepan
Home
52.5% (326)
54.5% (222)
Away
50.5% (281)
57.2% (222)
By Period
Lizotte
Stepan
P1
51.4%
57.5%
P2
56.3%
54.7%
P3
46.1%
55.9%
Final 5 min
49.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |