Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Stepan 53.4% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 56.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 61.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Lizotte
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lizotte
Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
55.3% (358)
-2.8%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
0.0% (3)
+46.2%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
50.8% (61)
-9.4%
On power play, Lizotte has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Stepan
Home
51.4% (383)
57.7% (213)
Away
50.9% (424)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Lizotte
Stepan
P1
48.8%
56.3%
P2
51.0%
48.9%
P3
53.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |