Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Cozens 52.9% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 82.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 84.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 57.3%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Lizotte
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lizotte
Cozens
Last 5: Lizotte 2-3 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
2
Lizotte
Cozens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Cozens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Cozens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
52.6% (606)
+0.3%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
58.5% (94)
-33.5%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
33.3% (6)
+9.8%
On power play, Cozens has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Lizotte is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Lizotte shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Cozens
Home
44.2% (242)
54.1% (375)
Away
56.0% (234)
52.3% (331)
By Period
Lizotte
Cozens
P1
49.6%
55.8%
P2
46.9%
50.6%
P3
52.6%
53.7%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |