Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Cozens 46.1% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 58.8%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 50.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 52.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Lizotte
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lizotte
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Cozens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
45.6% (746)
+5.7%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
50.8% (65)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
34.5% (29)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Lizotte is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Lizotte shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Cozens
Home
52.5% (326)
43.9% (410)
Away
50.5% (281)
47.2% (430)
By Period
Lizotte
Cozens
P1
51.4%
46.4%
P2
56.3%
41.6%
P3
46.1%
49.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |