Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Cozens 48.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 56.7%
Defensive zone
Cozens 51.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 52.9%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Lizotte
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lizotte
Cozens
Last 5: Lizotte 2-3 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
3
Lizotte
Cozens
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
49.4% (859)
+3.1%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
49.5% (186)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
39.5% (129)
+1.9%
On power play, Cozens has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Cozens
Home
51.4% (383)
49.0% (600)
Away
50.9% (424)
47.6% (574)
By Period
Lizotte
Cozens
P1
48.8%
46.5%
P2
51.0%
52.9%
P3
53.5%
45.2%
Final 5 min
48.3%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 19:14 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:56 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |