Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Lindholm 55.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 68.8%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 67.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 69.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Lizotte
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lizotte
Lindholm
Last 6: Lizotte 2-4 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Lizotte
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
3
Lizotte
Lindholm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
57.7% (1,124)
-5.2%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
52.9% (155)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
48.6% (259)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Lindholm
Home
51.4% (383)
55.7% (760)
Away
50.9% (424)
55.8% (778)
By Period
Lizotte
Lindholm
P1
48.8%
53.7%
P2
51.0%
58.3%
P3
53.5%
55.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |