Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Lindholm 55.9% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 58.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 55.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 65.4%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Lizotte
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lizotte
Lindholm
Last 5: Lizotte 2-3 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
2
Lizotte
Lindholm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
57.3% (944)
-9.4%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
61.1% (162)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
49.1% (230)
-7.8%
On power play, Lindholm has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Lizotte is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Lizotte shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Lindholm
Home
48.8% (170)
55.2% (667)
Away
45.1% (195)
57.5% (669)
By Period
Lizotte
Lindholm
P1
44.4%
54.7%
P2
53.3%
55.5%
P3
43.0%
58.5%
Final 5 min
43.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |