Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.1% vs Compher 48.0% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 77.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 63.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 60.3%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Lizotte
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lizotte
Compher
Last 7: Lizotte 5-2 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
0
Lizotte
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Lizotte
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Compher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (549)
50.0% (480)
+0.3%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
52.9% (51)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
40.2% (184)
+3.8%
On power play, Lizotte has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Lizotte is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Lizotte shoots left. Compher is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Compher
Home
48.5% (336)
51.2% (328)
Away
52.1% (286)
44.7% (387)
By Period
Lizotte
Compher
P1
48.2%
50.4%
P2
54.1%
47.2%
P3
47.1%
46.2%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.2%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 08:55 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 06:41 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |