Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Compher 45.6% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 52.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 77.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 76.3%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Lizotte
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lizotte
Compher
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
45.8% (847)
+7.7%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
40.8% (49)
-40.8%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
41.9% (117)
-3.3%
On power play, Compher has a +40.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Lizotte is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Lizotte shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Compher
Home
52.0% (198)
45.1% (519)
Away
49.7% (149)
45.1% (494)
By Period
Lizotte
Compher
P1
50.0%
45.8%
P2
50.9%
46.2%
P3
52.2%
43.2%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |