Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Compher 48.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 54.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 51.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 60.3%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Lizotte
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Lizotte
Compher
Last 10: Lizotte 6-4 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Compher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
2
Lizotte
Compher
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lizotte
Compher
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
49.3% (1,149)
+3.2%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
53.9% (204)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
43.6% (312)
-2.2%
On power play, Compher has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Compher
Home
51.4% (383)
50.7% (872)
Away
50.9% (424)
46.8% (793)
By Period
Lizotte
Compher
P1
48.8%
49.9%
P2
51.0%
47.9%
P3
53.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:07 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |