Blake Lizotte vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Pageau 58.8% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 57.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 69.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 60.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Lizotte
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lizotte
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Lizotte
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
59.1% (687)
-6.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
69.4% (36)
-44.4%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
60.1% (213)
-17.0%
On power play, Pageau has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Lizotte is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Lizotte shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Pageau
Home
44.2% (242)
57.8% (377)
Away
56.0% (234)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Lizotte
Pageau
P1
49.6%
54.1%
P2
46.9%
62.1%
P3
52.6%
61.8%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |