Blake Lizotte vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Pageau 56.7% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 64.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 61.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 53.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Lizotte
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lizotte
Pageau
Last 6: Lizotte 3-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Lizotte
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
58.8% (889)
-6.3%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
58.2% (182)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
48.6% (185)
-7.2%
On power play, Pageau has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Pageau
Home
51.4% (383)
59.0% (595)
Away
50.9% (424)
55.7% (661)
By Period
Lizotte
Pageau
P1
48.8%
58.9%
P2
51.0%
57.9%
P3
53.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:32 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |