Blake Lizotte vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Pageau 54.8% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 72.6%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 82.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 72.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Lizotte
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
Lizotte
Pageau
Last 10: Lizotte 2-8 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Lizotte
Pageau
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
5
Lizotte
Pageau
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lizotte
Pageau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
55.7% (9,486)
-4.1%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
57.0% (1,002)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
49.6% (2,069)
-7.3%
On power play, Pageau has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Lizotte shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Pageau
Home
49.5% (1,840)
56.3% (6,214)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Lizotte
Pageau
P1
48.0%
54.6%
P2
52.3%
56.3%
P3
50.5%
53.5%
OT
75.0%
54.4%
Final 5 min
50.2%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 02:37 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:32 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |