Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Tavares 57.2% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 53.2%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 93.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 75.4%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Lizotte
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Lizotte
Tavares
Last 10: Lizotte 2-8 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
6
Lizotte
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Lizotte
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
58.0% (914)
-5.1%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
57.0% (235)
-32.0%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
57.9% (19)
-14.8%
On power play, Tavares has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Tavares
Home
44.2% (242)
57.8% (614)
Away
56.0% (234)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Lizotte
Tavares
P1
49.6%
58.0%
P2
46.9%
56.9%
P3
52.6%
58.4%
OT
100.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |