Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Tavares 58.7% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 52.2%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 73.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 70.2%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Lizotte
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lizotte
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Lizotte
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Lizotte
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
59.2% (1,035)
-11.3%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
60.0% (310)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
42.9% (7)
-1.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lizotte is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Tavares
Home
48.8% (170)
57.5% (668)
Away
45.1% (195)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Lizotte
Tavares
P1
44.4%
58.0%
P2
53.3%
60.1%
P3
43.0%
61.0%
Final 5 min
43.0%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2023 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | John Tavares |