Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Staal 55.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 54.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 63.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 51.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Lizotte
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Lizotte
Staal
Last 8: Lizotte 4-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Lizotte
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
56.3% (1,115)
-3.8%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
61.2% (67)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
52.1% (292)
-10.7%
On power play, Staal has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Staal
Home
51.4% (383)
58.3% (705)
Away
50.9% (424)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Lizotte
Staal
P1
48.8%
54.5%
P2
51.0%
58.2%
P3
53.5%
54.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 17:34 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |