Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Staal 55.3% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 80.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 68.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Lizotte
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Lizotte
Staal
Last 10: Lizotte 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
2
Lizotte
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Lizotte
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
6
2
Lizotte
Staal
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
55.9% (14,620)
-4.3%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
62.7% (1,745)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
48.0% (2,896)
-5.7%
On power play, Staal has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Staal
Home
49.5% (1,840)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Lizotte
Staal
P1
48.0%
55.2%
P2
52.3%
55.9%
P3
50.5%
54.9%
OT
75.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
50.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 17:34 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |