Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Danforth 52.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 58.6%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 57.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 56.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Lizotte
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lizotte
Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Lizotte
Danforth
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Lizotte
Danforth
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
54.3% (162)
-3.0%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
50.0% (10)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
51.9% (27)
-1.0%
On power play, Lizotte has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Lizotte is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Lizotte shoots left. Danforth is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Danforth
Home
52.5% (326)
51.9% (81)
Away
50.5% (281)
55.1% (118)
By Period
Lizotte
Danforth
P1
51.4%
49.2%
P2
56.3%
50.8%
P3
46.1%
62.9%
Final 5 min
49.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.6%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |