Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Danforth 49.5% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danforth 59.3%
Defensive zone
Danforth 51.6%
Neutral zone
Danforth 50.8%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Lizotte
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lizotte
Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Lizotte
Danforth
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
50.5% (546)
+3.0%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
50.0% (14)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
43.6% (101)
-5.0%
On power play, Danforth has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Lizotte is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Lizotte shoots left. Danforth is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Danforth
Home
52.0% (198)
51.1% (315)
Away
49.7% (149)
48.0% (346)
By Period
Lizotte
Danforth
P1
50.0%
49.5%
P2
50.9%
51.4%
P3
52.2%
46.6%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.0%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |