Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Scheifele 48.1% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 69.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 71.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 58.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Lizotte
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lizotte
Scheifele
Last 7: Lizotte 4-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Lizotte
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Scheifele
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
47.8% (960)
+4.7%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
47.0% (219)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
60.7% (28)
-19.3%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Scheifele
Home
51.4% (383)
50.7% (611)
Away
50.9% (424)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Lizotte
Scheifele
P1
48.8%
51.4%
P2
51.0%
47.3%
P3
53.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:59 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:17 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |