Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Scheifele 48.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 62.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 75.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 57.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Lizotte
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lizotte
Scheifele
Last 8: Lizotte 2-6 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Lizotte
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
3
Lizotte
Scheifele
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
48.1% (1,045)
-0.2%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
48.6% (181)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
44.4% (27)
-3.1%
On power play, Scheifele has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Lizotte is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Lizotte shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Scheifele
Home
48.8% (170)
52.7% (630)
Away
45.1% (195)
43.5% (623)
By Period
Lizotte
Scheifele
P1
44.4%
50.3%
P2
53.3%
46.8%
P3
43.0%
47.5%
Final 5 min
43.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |